Dowell is a true toss-up. About 49% of voters here vote Democratic and 51% Republican.
About 88% of adults in Dowell typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dowell, ~43% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~12% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dowell compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dowell sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 12 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 76 leaning the other way.
Dowell runs about 31 points more Republican than Maryland as a whole. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Dowell sits closer to the political middle.
Why Dowell leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dowell, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dowell votes against the grain of Maryland. Maryland leans Democratic overall, while Dowell runs about 31 points more Republican.
Homeownership and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Dowell, MD sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dowell looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dowell is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 76%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 96% of households in Dowell own their home, compared to around 65% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Solomons, MD Even
- Lusby, MD R+9
- Chesapeake Ranch Estates, MD R+8
- Patuxent River, MD D+3
- California, MD R+3
- Great Mills, MD D+16
- Wallville, MD R+36
- Lexington Park, MD D+21
Cities with Similar Populations
- Royalton, PA R+29
- Cordova, IL R+30
- Mill Run, PA R+61
- Covington, PA R+56
- Cullen, LA R+7
- Pennellwood, MI R+27
- Paoli, OK R+66
- Call, TX R+72
- Delight, AR R+59
- Craggie Hope, TN R+57
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maryland State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.