Cinco Bayou leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Cinco Bayou typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cinco Bayou, ~26% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cinco Bayou compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cinco Bayou leans more Republican than 7 of 17 neighbors.
Cinco Bayou runs about 19 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Why Cinco Bayou leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cinco Bayou, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Cinco Bayou votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 46%, modestly below the Florida average of 57%). Here an older population outweighs the Democratic lean that density usually predicts.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cinco Bayou, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Cinco Bayou looks the way it does
Turnout in Cinco Bayou sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Fort Walton Beach, FL R+27
- Ocean City, FL R+29
- Wright, FL R+18
- Lake Lorraine, FL R+29
- Shalimar, FL R+30
- Eglin Afb, FL R+28
- Hurlburt Field, FL R+44
- Mary Esther, FL R+29
- Destin, FL R+40
- Valparaiso, FL R+41
Cities with Similar Populations
- Smallwood, NY R+10
- Richville, MI R+38
- Petros, TN R+69
- West Stockholm, NY R+35
- Ridgefield, IL R+6
- Goat Town, GA R+21
- Cottle, WV R+60
- Keego, AL R+86
- Blocton, WV R+76
- Cainsville, MO R+73
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.