Cleveland is a Republican stronghold. About 24% of voters here vote Democratic and 76% Republican.
About 82% of adults in Cleveland typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cleveland, ~20% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~18% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cleveland compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cleveland leans more Republican than 42 of 63 neighbors.
Cleveland runs about 34 points more Republican than Missouri as a whole.
Why Cleveland leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Cleveland. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Cleveland, MO sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cleveland looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Cleveland have completed high school, about 7 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- West Line, MO R+56
- Wea, KS R+49
- Jaudon, MO R+49
- Lake Annette, MO R+53
- Freeman, MO R+56
- Louisburg, KS R+39
- Bucyrus, KS R+33
- Peculiar, MO R+40
- Lisle, MO R+60
- Belton, MO R+22
Cities with Similar Populations
- Callao, VA R+17
- Loup City, NE R+60
- Lodge Grass, MT D+26
- Port Leyden, NY R+49
- Steinhatchee, FL R+68
- Thor, SC R+65
- Green Sea, SC R+55
- Green Ridge, MO R+66
- East Hounsfield, NY R+29
- Glenns Ferry, ID R+58
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.