Coldwater is a Republican stronghold. About 16% of voters here vote Democratic and 84% Republican.
About 92% of adults in Coldwater typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coldwater, ~15% vote Democratic, ~77% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coldwater compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Coldwater leans more Republican than 39 of 90 neighbors.
Coldwater runs about 58 points more Republican than Ohio as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Coldwater. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+78) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+65), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Coldwater leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coldwater, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Coldwater votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 36%, above 83% of cities). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 75% of households in Coldwater are family households, above 77% of cities.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Coldwater, OH sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Coldwater looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 97% of adults in Coldwater have completed high school, about 6 points above the Ohio average of 91%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Macedon, OH R+74
- Philothea, OH R+74
- St. Henry, OH R+75
- Montezuma, OH R+64
- Celina, OH R+53
- St. Peter, OH R+80
- Erastus, OH R+58
- Durbin, OH R+73
- Cranberry Prairie, OH R+81
- Padua, OH R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Shallowater, TX R+65
- Primera, TX R+9
- Kalifornsky, AK R+29
- Higginsville, MO R+43
- Baden, PA R+13
- Lumberton, NM D+14
- Newport, PA R+51
- Rainier, OR R+25
- Concordia, KS R+47
- Alexander, NC R+26
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Ohio Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.