Lumberton leans slightly Democratic by roughly 14 points: about 57% of voters vote Democratic and 43% Republican.
About 98% of adults in Lumberton typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Lumberton, ~56% vote Democratic, ~42% Republican, and ~2% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Lumberton compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Lumberton leans more Democratic than 1 of 39 neighbors.
Lumberton runs about 8 points more Democratic than New Mexico as a whole.
Why Lumberton leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Lumberton, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 71% of adults in Lumberton hold a bachelor's degree, about 42 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Dense areas vote Democratic, and Lumberton sits in the top fifth on density (about 66%, above 91% of cities).
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Lumberton, NM sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Lumberton looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Lumberton is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 80%, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 97% of households in Lumberton own their home, compared to around 77% in nearby cities. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Lumberton have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Totavi, NM D+29
- Los Alamos, NM D+33
- La Mesilla, NM D+58
- Santa Clara Pueblo, NM D+44
- Pojoaque, NM D+35
- Cochiti Lake, NM D+38
- Espanola, NM D+18
- Santa Cruz, NM D+25
- El Rancho, NM D+20
Cities with Similar Populations
- Baden, PA R+13
- Higginsville, MO R+43
- Primera, TX R+9
- Newport, PA R+51
- Shallowater, TX R+65
- Coldwater, OH R+69
- University Park, PA D+26
- Kalifornsky, AK R+29
- Albion, IN R+53
- Clever, MO R+67
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.