Coleman County is a Republican stronghold. About 18% of voters here vote Democratic and 82% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Coleman County typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coleman County, ~14% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coleman County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Coleman County leans more Republican than 3 of 6 neighbors.
Coleman County runs about 49 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Coleman County. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+81) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+62), a spread of about 18 points.
Why Coleman County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coleman County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 16% of adults in Coleman County hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Texas average of 26%.
Cholesterol-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high cholesterol-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Coleman County, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cholesterol screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Coleman County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Coleman County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Brown County, TX R+58
- Runnels County, TX R+64
- Callahan County, TX R+69
- Concho County, TX R+71
- McCulloch County, TX R+56
- Taylor County, TX R+36
- Eastland County, TX R+67
- Comanche County, TX R+65
- Mills County, TX R+72
- San Saba County, TX R+68
Counties with Similar Populations
- Washakie County, WY R+64
- Lincoln County, GA R+37
- Franklin County, MS R+35
- Yoakum County, TX R+59
- Merrick County, NE R+60
- Kane County, UT R+59
- Pleasants County, WV R+59
- Benton County, MS R+26
- Decatur County, IA R+44
- Ballard County, KY R+62
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.