Coleraine leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 70% of adults in Coleraine typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coleraine, ~25% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~30% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coleraine compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Coleraine leans more Republican than 18 of 23 neighbors.
Coleraine runs about 33 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Coleraine is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Coleraine leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coleraine, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Coleraine votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Coleraine runs about 33 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Coleraine are family households, above 78% of cities.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Coleraine, MN sits above the national average on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Coleraine looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Coleraine is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 64%, above 64% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Prairie, MN R+24
- Bovey, MN R+28
- Taconite, MN R+30
- Grand Rapids, MN R+16
- Marble, MN R+29
- Cohasset, MN R+29
- Calumet, MN R+27
- Pengilly, MN R+26
- Warba, MN R+24
- Nashwauk, MN R+24
Cities with Similar Populations
- Windsor, ME R+34
- Backus, MN R+41
- Big Timber, MT R+51
- Fresno, OH R+67
- Stoddard, WI R+19
- Seligman, MO R+72
- Wapwallopen, PA R+45
- Ida Grove, IA R+51
- Lake Luzerne, NY R+29
- Ameagle, WV R+52
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.