Collinwood is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 71% of adults in Collinwood typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Collinwood, ~9% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~29% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Collinwood compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Collinwood leans more Republican than 68 of 81 neighbors.
Collinwood runs about 79 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Collinwood is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Collinwood leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Collinwood, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Collinwood votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Collinwood runs about 79 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Collinwood sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 83% of cities). A high white share with below-average college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Collinwood fits that profile on both counts.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Collinwood, VA sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Collinwood looks the way it does
Turnout in Collinwood sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- McCorkle, VA R+72
- Nickelsville, VA R+71
- Fugates Hill, VA R+74
- Mendota, VA R+71
- Willow Spring, VA R+73
- Hiltons, VA R+72
- Snowflake, VA R+72
- Mew, VA R+71
- Silvacola, TN R+72
- Dungannon, VA R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Grosvenor, TX R+78
- Poplar Hill, VA R+62
- Lafox, IL R+6
- Mc Graws, WV R+77
- Oakville, PA R+54
- Case, MO R+58
- Burkittsville, MD R+18
- Mackeyville, PA R+63
- Kincaid, KS R+65
- Paxtonville, PA R+71
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.