Colonial Heights City leans Republican by roughly 18 points: about 41% of voters vote Democratic and 59% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Colonial Heights City typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Colonial Heights City, ~33% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Colonial Heights City compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Colonial Heights City leans more Republican than 18 of 29 neighbors.
Colonial Heights City runs about 25 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Colonial Heights City is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Colonial Heights City. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 20 points.
Why Colonial Heights City leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Colonial Heights City, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Colonial Heights City votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 82%, far above the Virginia average of 26%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Colonial Heights City runs against the grain of Virginia, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Colonial Heights City, VA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Colonial Heights City looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Colonial Heights City is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Petersburg City, VA D+71
- Hopewell City, VA D+23
- Prince George County, VA R+2
- Dinwiddie County, VA R+16
- Chesterfield County, VA D+12
- Charles City County, VA D+8
- Richmond City, VA D+65
- Sussex County, VA Even
- Henrico County, VA D+31
- New Kent County, VA R+28
Counties with Similar Populations
- Berrien County, GA R+66
- Wright County, MO R+69
- Montour County, PA R+23
- Andrew County, MO R+50
- Bosque County, TX R+63
- Sawyer County, WI R+11
- Banks County, GA R+78
- Brantley County, GA R+80
- Stone County, MS R+57
- Covington County, MS R+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.