Commerce leans heavily Republican by roughly 46 points: about 27% of voters vote Democratic and 73% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Commerce typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Commerce, ~14% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~47% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Commerce compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Commerce leans more Republican than 7 of 61 neighbors.
Politically, Commerce sits close to the rest of Oklahoma.
Why Commerce leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Commerce, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Commerce votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 58%, far above the Oklahoma average of 18%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Commerce sits in the bottom quarter (about 9%, below 95% of cities).
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Commerce, OK does.
Why turnout in Commerce looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Commerce is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 43%, about 12 points below the Oklahoma average of 55%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 35% of households in Commerce rent, above 90% of cities. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 30% of adults in Commerce report food insecurity, above 96% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Miami, OK R+59
- Douthat, OK R+50
- Zincville, OK R+57
- Miami, OK R+46
- Picher, OK R+55
- Lincolnville, OK R+61
- Treece, KS R+68
- Ottawa, OK R+59
- Quapaw, OK R+62
- Melrose, KS R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Conesus, NY R+34
- East McKeesport, PA D+10
- Blairs, VA R+19
- Hamilton, MO R+54
- Belmont, OH R+56
- Amity, AR R+71
- Riesel, TX R+66
- Moline Acres, MO D+85
- Redfield, AR R+70
- Cascade, ID R+49
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Oklahoma State Election Board, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.