Coquina Key leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Coquina Key typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Coquina Key, ~54% vote Democratic, ~25% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Coquina Key compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Coquina Key leans more Democratic than 5 of 10 neighbors.
Coquina Key runs about 48 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Coquina Key is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Coquina Key. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the southeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+3), a spread of about 41 points.
Why Coquina Key leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Coquina Key, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Coquina Key votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Coquina Key runs about 48 points more Democratic.
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Coquina Key, St. Petersburg, FL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Coquina Key looks the way it does
Turnout in Coquina Key sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Pinellas Point, St. Petersburg, FL D+48
- Melrose Mercy, St. Petersburg, FL D+75
- Highland Oaks, St. Petersburg, FL D+79
- Downtown St Petersburg, St. Petersburg, FL D+15
- Methodist Town, St. Petersburg, FL D+31
- Historic Uptown, St. Petersburg, FL D+34
- Historic Old Northeast, St. Petersburg, FL D+23
- Childs Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+68
- Westminster Heights, St. Petersburg, FL D+45
- Central Oak Park, St. Petersburg, FL D+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Belmont, Downers Grove, IL D+19
- 45th and Moncrief, Jacksonville, FL D+78
- Bluemound Heights, Milwaukee, WI D+36
- Summit Heights, Fontana, CA D+8
- Westbury, Lehi, UT R+25
- Peacock Village, Peoria, AZ R+17
- Westland Terrace, Pine Hills, FL D+70
- Downtown Grand Forks, Grand Forks, ND D+12
- Downtown East, Minneapolis, MN D+65
- Rickarby, Mobile, AL D+72
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.