Historic Old Northeast, St. Petersburg, FL Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Historic Old Northeast

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Historic Old Northeast leans Democratic by roughly 24 points: about 62% of voters vote Democratic and 38% Republican.

 

About 76% of adults in Historic Old Northeast typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Historic Old Northeast, ~47% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Historic Old Northeast compares

Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Historic Old Northeast leans more Democratic than 12 of 20 neighbors.

Historic Old Northeast runs about 36 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Historic Old Northeast is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.

Politics vary noticeably by block within Historic Old Northeast. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+31) and the northeast side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+17), a spread of about 14 points.

Why Historic Old Northeast leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Historic Old Northeast, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 68% of adults in Historic Old Northeast hold a bachelor's degree, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 28%. Historic Old Northeast runs against the grain of Florida, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.

Walkability and Democratic lean

Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Historic Old Northeast, St. Petersburg, FL sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Historic Old Northeast looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Historic Old Northeast is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 71%, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.