Crab Orchard is a Republican stronghold. About 17% of voters here vote Democratic and 83% Republican.
About 75% of adults in Crab Orchard typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Crab Orchard, ~13% vote Democratic, ~63% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Crab Orchard compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Crab Orchard leans more Republican than 92 of 96 neighbors.
Crab Orchard runs about 77 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while Crab Orchard is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Crab Orchard leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Crab Orchard, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 95% of residents in Crab Orchard drive to work alone, about 22 points above the U.S. average of 74%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 88% of households in Crab Orchard are family households, above 98% of cities. Crab Orchard runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
High-school completion and voter turnout
Places with high-school-completion-heavy adults tend to turn out at a higher rate; Crab Orchard, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Crab Orchard looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 91% of households in Crab Orchard own their home, about 11 points above the Illinois average of 80%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Crab Orchard have completed high school, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- New Dennison, IL R+57
- Pittsburg, IL R+62
- Spillertown, IL R+47
- Marion, IL R+31
- Whiteash, IL R+51
- Creal Springs, IL R+58
- Stonefort, IL R+66
- Newcastle, IL R+63
- Shakerag, IL R+62
Cities with Similar Populations
- Mount Washington, PA R+49
- Wellersburg, PA R+73
- Huntington, GA R+12
- Williams Mill, VA R+72
- Callaville, VA R+19
- Waterfall, PA R+75
- Calvin, KY R+76
- Burlington, AR R+62
- Gorham, IL R+50
- New Taiton, TX R+70
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.