Croton Falls, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Croton Falls

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Croton Falls is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in Croton Falls typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Croton Falls, ~39% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Croton Falls compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Croton Falls sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 60 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 49 leaning the other way.

Croton Falls runs about 13 points more Republican than New York as a whole. New York leans Democratic overall, while Croton Falls sits closer to the political middle.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Croton Falls. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+7) and the north side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 33 points.

Why Croton Falls leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Croton Falls, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Croton Falls votes against the grain of New York. New York leans Democratic overall, while Croton Falls runs about 13 points more Republican.

Cancer-screening access and voter turnout

Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Croton Falls, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.

Why turnout in Croton Falls looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Croton Falls is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.