Dalies leans slightly Republican by roughly 10 points: about 45% of voters vote Democratic and 55% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Dalies typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dalies, ~25% vote Democratic, ~31% Republican, and ~44% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dalies compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dalies leans more Republican than 10 of 25 neighbors.
Dalies runs about 15 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Dalies is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dalies. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+25) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 17 points.
Why Dalies leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dalies, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 5% of residents in Dalies live in densely developed areas, about 13 points below the New Mexico average of 18%. Dalies runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Dalies, NM sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Dalies looks the way it does
Strong routine healthcare access lines up with higher turnout, and Dalies sits in the top quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Los Lentes, NM R+10
- Los Chaves, NM R+22
- Los Lunas, NM R+11
- Bosque Farms, NM R+12
- Peralta, NM R+17
- Valencia, NM R+17
- El Cerro, NM R+20
- La Constancia, NM R+19
- Isleta, NM D+36
Cities with Similar Populations
- Adair, IL R+49
- Doss, TX R+74
- Rensselaerville, NY R+11
- Mount Liberty, WV R+65
- Bergland, MI R+27
- Kirby, MS R+12
- Stotonic Village, AZ D+55
- Hunts Corners, NY R+36
- Delisle, OH R+70
- Wiota, IA R+49
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.