Dawn is a Republican stronghold. About 23% of voters here vote Democratic and 77% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Dawn typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dawn, ~11% vote Democratic, ~35% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dawn compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dawn leans more Republican than 4 of 11 neighbors.
Dawn runs about 41 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dawn. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+66) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+42), a spread of about 24 points.
Why Dawn leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dawn, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 92% of residents in Dawn drive to work alone, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Dawn, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Dawn looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Dawn is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 9 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Dawn rent, above 90% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Umbarger, TX R+81
- Hereford, TX R+28
- Summerfield, TX R+52
- Westway, TX R+62
- Canyon, TX R+52
- Wildorado, TX R+77
- Ogg, TX R+80
- Bushland, TX R+80
- Happy, TX R+79
- Dimmitt, TX R+33
Cities with Similar Populations
- Upland, NE R+71
- Fair River, MS R+62
- Derrick City, PA R+47
- Blooming Rose, MO R+72
- Lannius, TX R+76
- Wadesboro, LA R+65
- Yates, TX R+76
- The Narrows, NY R+45
- Hopson, KY R+62
- Rumford Corner, ME R+34
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.