Umbarger is a Republican stronghold. About 10% of voters here vote Democratic and 90% Republican.
About 65% of adults in Umbarger typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Umbarger, ~6% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~35% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Umbarger compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Umbarger is the most Republican-leaning.
Umbarger runs about 67 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Umbarger. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+82) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+68), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Umbarger leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Umbarger, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas vote Republican. About 4% of residents in Umbarger live in densely developed areas, about 30 points below the Texas average of 35%.
Population density and Republican lean
Places with low population density tend to lean Republican; Umbarger, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Umbarger looks the way it does
Turnout in Umbarger sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dawn, TX R+55
- Canyon, TX R+52
- Ogg, TX R+80
- Bushland, TX R+80
- Timbercreek Canyon, TX R+73
- Happy, TX R+79
- Palisades, TX R+74
- Wildorado, TX R+77
- Hereford, TX R+28
- Lake Tanglewood, TX R+72
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stremmels, PA R+13
- Couchwood, LA R+49
- Radcliff, OH R+62
- Spring Hill, VA R+61
- Holland, GA R+65
- Ransom, MI R+59
- Oketo, KS R+62
- Belvidere, NY R+46
- South Creek, WA R+29
- Wattsville, VA R+13
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.