Curry County leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 58% of adults in Curry County typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Curry County, ~19% vote Democratic, ~39% Republican, and ~42% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Curry County compares
Among counties within 50 miles, Curry County is the least Republican-leaning.
Curry County runs about 40 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Curry County is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by city within Curry County. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+75) and the south side is the least Republican-leaning (R+15), a spread of about 60 points.
Why Curry County leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per county to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Curry County, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 83% of residents in Curry County drive to work alone, about 9 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Curry County runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Curry County, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Curry County looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Curry County is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 36% of households in Curry County rent, above 89% of counties. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 26% of adults in Curry County report food insecurity, above 90% of counties. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Counties
- Roosevelt County, NM R+37
- Parmer County, TX R+50
- Bailey County, TX R+49
- Castro County, TX R+40
- Deaf Smith County, TX R+30
- Cochran County, TX R+47
- Lamb County, TX R+57
- Quay County, NM R+32
- De Baca County, NM R+35
- Oldham County, TX R+80
Counties with Similar Populations
- Tioga County, NY R+27
- Lincoln Parish, LA R+13
- Boyd County, KY R+38
- Halifax County, NC D+22
- Shelby County, OH R+58
- Crittenden County, AR D+22
- Duplin County, NC R+23
- Le Flore County, OK R+63
- Vernon Parish, LA R+56
- Shelby County, KY R+32
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.