Deep Hole leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 89% of adults in Deep Hole typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deep Hole, ~32% vote Democratic, ~57% Republican, and ~11% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deep Hole compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deep Hole leans more Republican than 29 of 49 neighbors.
Deep Hole runs about 35 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Deep Hole is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deep Hole. The northwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+29) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+8), a spread of about 21 points.
Why Deep Hole leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deep Hole, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Deep Hole votes against the grain of Virginia. Virginia leans Democratic overall, while Deep Hole runs about 35 points more Republican.
Food insecurity and voter turnout
Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Deep Hole, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.
Why turnout in Deep Hole looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Deep Hole is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 96% of adults in Deep Hole have completed high school, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Chincoteague Island, VA R+28
- Chincoteague, VA R+26
- Greenbackville, VA R+38
- Horntown, VA R+28
- Stockton, MD R+31
- Girdletree, MD R+32
- Wallops Island, VA R+16
- Wattsville, VA R+13
Cities with Similar Populations
- Seaman, WV R+65
- Ribbon, KY R+73
- Rivermoor, WI R+25
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.