Deer Park leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 67% of adults in Deer Park typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Deer Park, ~21% vote Democratic, ~46% Republican, and ~33% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Deer Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Deer Park leans more Republican than 47 of 59 neighbors.
Deer Park runs about 24 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Deer Park. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+51) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Deer Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Deer Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Deer Park votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 98%, far above the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Deer Park are family households, above 83% of cities.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Deer Park, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Deer Park looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Deer Park is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Pasadena, TX R+8
- La Porte, TX R+36
- South Houston, TX D+7
- Lynchburg, TX R+39
- Morgans Point, TX R+35
- Shoreacres, TX R+46
- Channelview, TX R+3
- Cloverleaf, TX D+11
- Taylor Lake Village, TX R+23
- Galena Park, TX D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Greeneville, TN R+57
- Alamo, TX R+3
- Ossining, NY D+25
- Inman, SC R+47
- Paramus, NJ R+12
- University City, MO D+69
- Leavenworth, KS R+8
- American Fork, UT R+36
- Bowling Green, OH D+16
- Shelton, WA R+3
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.