Cloverleaf leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 31% of adults in Cloverleaf typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Cloverleaf, ~17% vote Democratic, ~14% Republican, and ~69% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Cloverleaf compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Cloverleaf leans more Democratic than 54 of 55 neighbors.
Cloverleaf runs about 25 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Cloverleaf is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Cloverleaf. The northwest side runs the most Democratic (D+24) and the east side runs the most Republican (R+3), a spread of about 27 points.
Why Cloverleaf leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Cloverleaf, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Cloverleaf live in densely developed areas, about 63 points above the U.S. average of 36%. A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 43% of adults in Cloverleaf have never been married, above 95% of cities. Cloverleaf runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Cloverleaf, TX sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Cloverleaf looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Cloverleaf is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 41%, about 13 points below the Texas average of 54%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 44% of households in Cloverleaf rent, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 64% of adults in Cloverleaf have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Channelview, TX R+3
- Jacinto City, TX D+8
- Galena Park, TX D+6
- Sheldon, TX R+6
- Magnolia Gardens, TX R+13
- Highlands, TX R+31
- Deer Park, TX R+38
- Lynchburg, TX R+39
- Pasadena, TX R+8
- Barrett, TX D+28
Cities with Similar Populations
- Poplar Bluff, MO R+46
- Riverhead, NY R+3
- Beltsville, MD D+54
- Longwood, FL R+16
- Asbury Park, NJ D+36
- Aubrey, TX R+12
- Coraopolis, PA R+2
- Burton, MI R+4
- Buenaventura Lakes, FL D+6
- Miami Lakes, FL R+34
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.