North Gateway leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 75% of adults in North Gateway typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in North Gateway, ~32% vote Democratic, ~43% Republican, and ~25% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How North Gateway compares
North Gateway runs about 9 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within North Gateway. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+37) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 31 points.
Why North Gateway leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in North Gateway. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; North Gateway, Phoenix, AZ sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in North Gateway looks the way it does
Turnout in North Gateway sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Desert Hills, Cave Creek, AZ R+23
- Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ R+8
- New Village, New River, AZ R+30
- Desert View, Phoenix, AZ R+12
- Camino Lago, Phoenix, AZ R+27
- Peacock Village, Peoria, AZ R+17
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ R+22
- Cactus Gale, Glendale, AZ R+11
- Ventana Lakes, Peoria, AZ R+24
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- North Central Omaha, Omaha, NE D+24
- West Baltimore, Baltimore, MD D+82
- Kalihi Valley, Honolulu, HI D+11
- South Natomas, Sacramento, CA D+37
- Diamond Head-Kapahulu-St Louis, Honolulu, HI D+36
- Lower West Side, Chicago, IL D+58
- Central Arlington, Arlington, TX D+25
- Mililani Mauka-Launani Valley, Mililani, HI D+16
- San Luis Rey, Oceanside, CA D+11
- Manoa, Honolulu, HI D+44
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.