Desert Hills leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 86% of adults in Desert Hills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Desert Hills, ~33% vote Democratic, ~53% Republican, and ~14% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Desert Hills compares
Desert Hills runs about 18 points more Republican than Arizona as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Desert Hills. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+30) and the west side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 25 points.
Why Desert Hills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Desert Hills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Desert Hills sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 78% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the Arizona average of 51%. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Desert Hills are family households, above 78% of neighborhoods.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Desert Hills, Cave Creek, AZ sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Desert Hills looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 86% of households in Desert Hills own their home, about 13 points above the Arizona average of 73%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- North Gateway, Phoenix, AZ R+14
- Desert View, Phoenix, AZ R+12
- Deer Valley, Phoenix, AZ R+8
- New Village, New River, AZ R+30
- Pinnacle Peak, Scottsdale, AZ R+22
- Paradise Valley, Phoenix, AZ Even
- North Mountain, Phoenix, AZ D+9
- Camino Lago, Phoenix, AZ R+27
- Cactus Gale, Glendale, AZ R+11
- Peacock Village, Peoria, AZ R+17
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Delmar Parkway, Aurora, CO D+32
- Widefield, Security-Widefield, CO R+8
- Citizens Southwest, Jackson, MS D+77
- Lanham-Seabrook, Lanham, MD D+67
- Morningside Park, Inglewood, CA D+75
- Kenmore, Akron, OH D+10
- Southridge Village, Fontana, CA D+17
- West Side, St. Paul, MN D+46
- Bixby Area, Long Beach, CA D+37
- Old Fourth Ward, Atlanta, GA D+59
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Arizona Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.