Haymarket, VA Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Haymarket

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Haymarket is a true toss-up. About 50% of voters here vote Democratic and 50% Republican.

 

About 93% of adults in Haymarket typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Haymarket, ~47% vote Democratic, ~47% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Haymarket compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Haymarket sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 71 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 45 leaning the other way.

Haymarket runs about 6 points more Republican than Virginia as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Haymarket. The south side runs the most Democratic (D+8) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+26), a spread of about 34 points.

Why Haymarket leans the way it does

Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Haymarket. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.

Food insecurity and voter turnout

Places with low food insecurity tend to turn out at a higher rate; Haymarket, VA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Food insecurity does not directly drive turnout; it reflects economic hardship, which lines up with lower voting.

Why turnout in Haymarket looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Haymarket is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 75%, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 92% of households in Haymarket own their home, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 98% of adults in Haymarket have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Virginia Department of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.