Dinsmore leans Republican by roughly 16 points: about 42% of voters vote Democratic and 58% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Dinsmore typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dinsmore, ~19% vote Democratic, ~27% Republican, and ~54% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dinsmore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dinsmore leans more Republican than 14 of 23 neighbors.
Dinsmore runs about 36 points more Republican than California as a whole. California leans Democratic overall, while Dinsmore is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dinsmore. The east side runs the most Democratic (D+33) and the southwest side runs the most Republican (R+19), a spread of about 51 points.
Why Dinsmore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dinsmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dinsmore votes against the grain of California. California leans Democratic overall, while Dinsmore runs about 36 points more Republican. Rural areas vote Republican, and Dinsmore sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 2%, below 96% of cities).
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Dinsmore, CA sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Dinsmore looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 42% of households in Dinsmore rent, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 9% of homes in Dinsmore have more than one occupant per room, above 95% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 81% of adults in Dinsmore have completed high school, below 89% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bridgeville, CA R+19
- Ruth, CA R+19
- Mad River, CA R+20
- Blocksburg, CA D+7
- Hyampom, CA R+17
- McCann, CA R+16
- Whitlow, CA D+6
- Fort Seward, CA D+9
- Forest Glen, CA R+9
- Redcrest, CA R+14
Cities with Similar Populations
- Stafford, CA R+17
- Salt Gap, TX R+74
- Ethel, VA R+38
- Curtis Mill, FL R+64
- Mildred, MT R+70
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.