Dover South Mills leans heavily Republican by roughly 32 points: about 34% of voters vote Democratic and 66% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Maine did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 74% of adults in Dover South Mills typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dover South Mills, ~25% vote Democratic, ~49% Republican, and ~26% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dover South Mills compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dover South Mills leans more Republican than 12 of 68 neighbors.
Dover South Mills runs about 39 points more Republican than Maine as a whole. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Dover South Mills is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Dover South Mills. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+41) and the north side is the least Republican-leaning (R+28), a spread of about 14 points.
Why Dover South Mills leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dover South Mills, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dover South Mills votes against the grain of Maine. Maine leans Democratic overall, while Dover South Mills runs about 39 points more Republican.
Park access and Republican lean
Places with low park coverage tend to lean Republican; Dover South Mills, ME sits below the national average on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Dover South Mills looks the way it does
Turnout in Dover South Mills sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Garland, ME R+41
- Dexter, ME R+33
- South Dover, ME R+30
- West Charleston, ME R+38
- Sangerville, ME R+38
- Dover Foxcroft, ME R+28
- East Dover, ME R+32
- Corinna, ME R+41
- Charleston, ME R+37
- Atkinson Mills, ME R+42
Cities with Similar Populations
- Kickapoo, LA D+14
- Schaefferstown, PA R+59
- Hazel Green, KY R+62
- Woodsburgh, NY R+47
- Cassville, IN R+54
- Gateway, AR R+54
- Liberty Hill, SC R+48
- Downey, ID R+67
- Rhyse, MO R+70
- Ulen, MN R+34
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Maine Secretary of State, Bureau of Corporations Elections and Commissions, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. ME did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.