Dukes leans slightly Republican by roughly 14 points: about 43% of voters vote Democratic and 57% Republican.
About 77% of adults in Dukes typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Dukes, ~33% vote Democratic, ~44% Republican, and ~23% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Dukes compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Dukes leans more Republican than 13 of 35 neighbors.
Dukes runs about 12 points more Republican than Michigan as a whole.
Why Dukes leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Dukes, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Rural areas with a high white share vote Republican. Dukes sits in the bottom quarter on density and about 94% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 12 points above the Michigan average of 83%.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with strong routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Dukes, MI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Dukes looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Dukes is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 95% of households in Dukes own their home, about 20 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Skandia, MI R+13
- Lawson, MI R+17
- Green Garden, MI R+3
- Ladoga, MI R+17
- Mangum, MI Even
- K. I. Sawyer Air Force Base, MI R+12
- Rumely, MI R+10
- Little Lake, MI R+20
- Deerton, MI R+8
- Eben Junction, MI R+16
Cities with Similar Populations
- Wheatland, OR R+39
- Wales, AK D+33
- Lamasco, KY R+60
- Big Indian, NY D+35
- Harman, VA R+49
- Goober Hill, TX R+70
- Rek Hill, TX R+74
- Bennettsville, NY R+41
- Dunn, TX R+77
- Kimball, KS R+62
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.