Green Garden is a true toss-up. About 48% of voters here vote Democratic and 52% Republican.
About 96% of adults in Green Garden typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Green Garden, ~46% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~4% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Green Garden compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Green Garden leans more Republican than 3 of 33 neighbors.
Politically, Green Garden sits close to the rest of Michigan.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Green Garden. The south side is the most split-leaning (R+12) and the north side is the least split-leaning (Even), a spread of about 10 points.
Why Green Garden leans the way it does
Density, race composition, education, and family structure all sit close to their national averages in Green Garden. The lean here lands roughly where demographic data alone would predict.
Walkability and Republican lean
Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Green Garden, MI sits below the national average on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Green Garden looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Green Garden is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Green Garden own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Green Garden have completed high school, above 92% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Mangum, MI Even
- Sands, MI R+14
- Skandia, MI R+13
- K. I. Sawyer Air Force Base, MI R+12
- Harvey, MI R+10
- Dukes, MI R+14
- Marquette, MI D+18
- Gwinn, MI R+19
- Little Lake, MI R+20
- Trowbridge Park, MI D+2
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cotton Plant, MS R+45
- Sugar Hill, NH D+17
- Pinola, IN R+29
- Eglon, WV R+69
- Green Hill, TN R+39
- Melton, VA R+34
- Monroe, PA R+56
- Melbourne Village, FL R+29
- Terry, MT R+68
- Fox Bluff, TN R+65
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Michigan Department of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.