Duran leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 80% of adults in Duran typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Duran, ~21% vote Democratic, ~59% Republican, and ~20% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Duran compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Duran leans more Republican than 2 of 3 neighbors.
Duran runs about 54 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Duran is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Duran. The east side runs the most Democratic (Even) and the southeast side runs the most Republican (R+55), a spread of about 56 points.
Why Duran leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Duran, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Duran votes against the grain of New Mexico. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Duran runs about 54 points more Republican. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 76% of households in Duran are family households, above 78% of cities.
Paved land cover and Republican lean
Places with little paved surface tend to lean Republican; Duran, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Duran looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 90% of households in Duran own their home, about 10 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Duran sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Corona, NM R+54
- Vaughn, NM Even
- Encino, NM R+45
- Claunch, NM R+38
- Willard, NM R+49
- Cedarvale, NM R+49
- Pastura, NM R+5
- Yeso, NM R+42
- Dahlia, NM R+7
Cities with Similar Populations
- Florida, NM R+8
- Rockypoint, WY R+83
- Reevytown, NJ R+24
- Rutersville, TX R+65
- Las Tablas, NM D+31
- Lake Minchumina, AK D+15
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.