Florida leans slightly Republican by roughly 8 points: about 46% of voters vote Democratic and 54% Republican.
About 83% of adults in Florida typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Florida, ~38% vote Democratic, ~45% Republican, and ~17% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Florida compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Florida leans more Republican than 2 of 9 neighbors.
Florida runs about 14 points more Republican than New Mexico as a whole. New Mexico leans Democratic overall, while Florida is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Florida. The west side is the most Republican-leaning (R+27) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+5), a spread of about 22 points.
Why Florida leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Florida, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Florida drive to work alone, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Florida runs against the grain of New Mexico, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Renting and voter turnout
Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; Florida, NM sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Florida looks the way it does
Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 93% of households in Florida own their home, about 13 points above the New Mexico average of 80%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Florida sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Florida have completed high school, in the top fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Socorro, NM D+4
- Lemitar, NM R+19
- Polvadera, NM R+19
- Luis Lopez, NM R+8
- San Acacia, NM R+24
- San Antonio, NM R+15
- San Antonito, NM R+17
- La Joya, NM R+18
- Bernardo, NM R+19
- Sabinal, NM R+4
Cities with Similar Populations
- Rockypoint, WY R+83
- Reevytown, NJ R+24
- Rutersville, TX R+65
- Las Tablas, NM D+31
- Boone, MS Even
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New Mexico Secretary of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.