Atlantic Boulevard Estates is a true toss-up. About 52% of voters here vote Democratic and 48% Republican.
About 59% of adults in Atlantic Boulevard Estates typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Atlantic Boulevard Estates, ~31% vote Democratic, ~28% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Atlantic Boulevard Estates compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Atlantic Boulevard Estates leans more Democratic than 14 of 24 neighbors.
Atlantic Boulevard Estates runs about 17 points more Democratic than Florida as a whole. Florida leans Republican overall, while Atlantic Boulevard Estates is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Atlantic Boulevard Estates. The north side runs the most Democratic (D+27) and the northeast side runs the most Republican (R+22), a spread of about 49 points.
Why Atlantic Boulevard Estates leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Atlantic Boulevard Estates, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Atlantic Boulevard Estates votes against the grain of Florida. Florida leans Republican overall, while Atlantic Boulevard Estates runs about 17 points more Democratic.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Atlantic Boulevard Estates, Jacksonville, FL sits above the national average on this measure.
Why turnout in Atlantic Boulevard Estates looks the way it does
Turnout in Atlantic Boulevard Estates sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Regency, Jacksonville, FL D+16
- Southsuide Estates, Jacksonville, FL R+18
- Arlingwood, Jacksonville, FL R+2
- Alderman Park, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- Sandalwood, Jacksonville, FL R+6
- Hidden Hills, Jacksonville, FL R+8
- Arlington Hills, Jacksonville, FL D+14
- East Arlington, Jacksonville, FL R+14
- Woodland Acres, Jacksonville, FL D+26
- Cobblestone, Jacksonville, FL R+5
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Far North Dallas-Roanoke, Roanoke, TX R+16
- Greenfield, Bakersfield, CA D+2
- Highlands, Boise, ID D+20
- Terrace Hills, Mobile, AL R+12
- Eastern 49-63, Kansas City, MO D+72
- Larrymore Lawns, Norfolk, VA D+58
- River Oaks, Fort Lauderdale, FL R+2
- Wood Park, Tempe, AZ D+30
- Southland, San Angelo, TX R+43
- Wilson, Oxnard, CA D+39
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.