East Bethel leans heavily Republican by roughly 34 points: about 33% of voters vote Democratic and 67% Republican.
About 92% of adults in East Bethel typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Bethel, ~30% vote Democratic, ~62% Republican, and ~8% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Bethel compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Bethel leans more Republican than 61 of 82 neighbors.
East Bethel runs about 38 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while East Bethel is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Bethel. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+42) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 19 points.
Why East Bethel leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Bethel, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Bethel votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 23%, about 13 points below the U.S. average of 36%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in East Bethel are family households, above 82% of cities. East Bethel runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; East Bethel, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in East Bethel looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Bethel is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in East Bethel own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bethel, MN R+38
- Oak Grove, MN R+38
- Ham Lake, MN R+27
- Bradford, MN R+40
- St. Francis, MN R+35
- Columbus, MN R+33
- Stacy, MN R+38
- Weber, MN R+44
- Andover, MN R+14
- Isanti, MN R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Aransas Pass, TX R+46
- Rochelle, IL R+18
- Bernalillo, NM D+10
- Maysville, KY R+35
- Commerce, CA D+33
- Spencer, IA R+27
- Wrentham, MA D+9
- Pepperell, MA D+2
- Freeland, MI R+29
- Valley Falls, RI Even
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.