Oak Grove leans heavily Republican by roughly 38 points: about 31% of voters vote Democratic and 69% Republican.
About 94% of adults in Oak Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Grove, ~29% vote Democratic, ~65% Republican, and ~6% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Oak Grove leans more Republican than 62 of 80 neighbors.
Oak Grove runs about 42 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Oak Grove is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Oak Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Oak Grove votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Oak Grove runs about 42 points more Republican. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Oak Grove runs against that pattern. A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 87% of households in Oak Grove are family households, above 98% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Oak Grove, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Oak Grove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oak Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 70%, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 94% of households in Oak Grove own their home, about 19 points above the U.S. average of 75%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and about 97% of adults in Oak Grove have completed high school, above 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- St. Francis, MN R+35
- Bethel, MN R+38
- East Bethel, MN R+34
- Nowthen, MN R+40
- Andover, MN R+14
- Bradford, MN R+40
- Ramsey, MN R+11
- Ham Lake, MN R+27
- Anoka, MN D+5
- Isanti, MN R+31
Cities with Similar Populations
- Graniteville, SC R+13
- Highland Heights, OH Even
- Jamison, PA R+3
- Shavertown, PA R+20
- Harrisburg, SD R+43
- Valley Park, MO D+8
- Hillside, IL D+53
- Philomath, OR D+26
- Ashland, NJ D+26
- Aurora, IN R+53
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.