East Carondelet leans heavily Republican by roughly 42 points: about 29% of voters vote Democratic and 71% Republican.
About 76% of adults in East Carondelet typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Carondelet, ~22% vote Democratic, ~54% Republican, and ~24% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Carondelet compares
Among cities within 25 miles, East Carondelet leans more Republican than 153 of 171 neighbors.
East Carondelet runs about 53 points more Republican than Illinois as a whole. Illinois leans Democratic overall, while East Carondelet is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within East Carondelet. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+52) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+24), a spread of about 27 points.
Why East Carondelet leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Carondelet, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in East Carondelet drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. East Carondelet runs against the grain of Illinois, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; East Carondelet, IL sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in East Carondelet looks the way it does
Turnout in East Carondelet sits close to the national pattern. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Dupo, IL R+29
- Cahokia, IL D+57
- Phelps, IL R+29
- Lemay, MO D+2
- Bella Villa, MO D+6
- Sauget, IL D+45
- Columbia, IL R+30
- Wilbur Park, MO D+11
- St. George, MO D+10
- Mehlville, MO Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sandy Valley, NV R+45
- Hugh, FL R+70
- Haven, KS R+58
- Church Hill, MD R+29
- Cordova, MD R+40
- Quogue, NY R+5
- Saspamco, TX R+35
- Pittsville, WI R+39
- Paxville, SC R+18
- Como, TX R+76
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Illinois State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.