Wilbur Park leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About 81% of adults in Wilbur Park typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Wilbur Park, ~45% vote Democratic, ~36% Republican, and ~19% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Wilbur Park compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Wilbur Park leans more Democratic than 94 of 173 neighbors.
Wilbur Park runs about 29 points more Democratic than Missouri as a whole. Missouri leans Republican overall, while Wilbur Park is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Why Wilbur Park leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Wilbur Park, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Wilbur Park live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Wilbur Park sits in the top quarter (about 34%, above 80% of cities). Wilbur Park runs against the grain of Missouri, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Wilbur Park, MO sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Wilbur Park looks the way it does
Areas with high high-school completion turn out at higher rates. About 96% of adults in Wilbur Park have completed high school, about 6 points above the Missouri average of 89%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Affton, MO D+11
- St. George, MO D+10
- Bella Villa, MO D+6
- Lemay, MO D+2
- Marlborough, MO D+20
- Lakeshire, MO Even
- Grantwood Village, MO D+11
- Green Park, MO D+5
- Shrewsbury, MO D+32
- Webster Groves, MO D+38
Cities with Similar Populations
- Chauncey, OH D+8
- Fordoche, LA R+64
- Crossville, IL R+68
- Ousley, GA R+38
- Edgecomb, ME D+9
- West Chesterfield, NH D+5
- Koele, HI D+26
- Paxton, TX R+77
- Island Pond, VT R+19
- Farmington, IA R+53
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Missouri Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.