East Cesar Chavez is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 61% of adults in East Cesar Chavez typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Cesar Chavez, ~49% vote Democratic, ~12% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How East Cesar Chavez compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, East Cesar Chavez leans more Democratic than 26 of 37 neighbors.
East Cesar Chavez runs about 75 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while East Cesar Chavez is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within East Cesar Chavez. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+55), a spread of about 13 points.
Why East Cesar Chavez leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Cesar Chavez, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
East Cesar Chavez votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while East Cesar Chavez runs about 75 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and East Cesar Chavez sits in the top quarter (about 66%, above 87% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 66% of adults in East Cesar Chavez have never been married, above 96% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; East Cesar Chavez, Austin, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in East Cesar Chavez looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 74% of households in East Cesar Chavez rent, about 49 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Dayton-Campbell Historic District, Hamilton, OH R+11
- Downtown, St. Louis, MO D+67
- Northgate Sacramento, Sacramento, CA D+32
- The Oaks, Bakersfield, CA R+22
- Abram-Perezville, Mission, TX R+6
- Penrose, Arlington, VA D+58
- University Park-Gainsville, Gainesville, FL D+41
- Rodgers Forge, Towson, MD D+47
- Highline Villages, Aurora, CO D+45
- Bluff, Pittsburgh, PA D+48
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.