Central East Austin is a Democratic stronghold. About 82% of voters here vote Democratic and 18% Republican.
About 54% of adults in Central East Austin typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Central East Austin, ~44% vote Democratic, ~10% Republican, and ~46% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Central East Austin compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Central East Austin leans more Democratic than 29 of 38 neighbors.
Central East Austin runs about 77 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Central East Austin is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Central East Austin. The northwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+75) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+60), a spread of about 15 points.
Why Central East Austin leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Central East Austin, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. More than 99% of residents in Central East Austin live in densely developed areas, about 64 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Central East Austin sits in the top quarter (about 70%, above 90% of neighborhoods). Central East Austin runs against the grain of Texas, a Democratic-leaning pocket in a Republican-leaning state.
Never-married share, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine a never-married-heavy adult population and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Central East Austin, Austin, TX does.
Why turnout in Central East Austin looks the way it does
Renters vote less often than owners. About 64% of households in Central East Austin rent, about 39 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- East Cesar Chavez, Austin, TX D+62
- Holly, Austin, TX D+62
- Rosewood, Austin, TX D+62
- Downtown Austin, Austin, TX D+42
- Govalle, Austin, TX D+62
- University Of Texas, Austin, TX D+67
- Upper Boggy Creek, Austin, TX D+69
- West University Austin, Austin, TX D+57
- Hancock, Austin, TX D+65
- South River City, Austin, TX D+56
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Waynita-Simonds-Norway Hill, Bothell, WA D+35
- Huntington-Jefferson, Virginia Beach, VA Even
- Greenville South Broadway Historic District, Greenville, OH R+41
- Wildwood, Ann Arbor, MI D+78
- Woodstock, Jacksonville, FL D+56
- West Slope, Beaverton, OR D+56
- Downtown Detroit, Detroit, MI D+62
- Fox Point, Providence, RI D+75
- Town Center, Oxnard, CA D+33
- Far West Eugene, Eugene, OR D+46
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.