Holly is a Democratic stronghold. About 81% of voters here vote Democratic and 19% Republican.
About 56% of adults in Holly typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Holly, ~46% vote Democratic, ~11% Republican, and ~43% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Holly compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Holly leans more Democratic than 26 of 36 neighbors.
Holly runs about 76 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Holly is one of the few Democratic-leaning pockets.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Holly. The southwest side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+67) and the east side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+57), a spread of about 11 points.
Why Holly leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Holly, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Holly votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Holly runs about 76 points more Democratic. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Holly sits in the top quarter (about 60%, above 80% of neighborhoods). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 53% of adults in Holly have never been married, above 87% of neighborhoods.
Paved land cover and Democratic lean
Places with extensive paved surfaces tend to lean Democratic; Holly, Austin, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Paved ground does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban and built-up a place is.
Why turnout in Holly looks the way it does
High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, mostly because the housing stress common in those areas makes voting harder. Holly sits in the top 15% nationally on a violent-crime measure. See CrimeGrade for more details. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- East Cesar Chavez, Austin, TX D+62
- Central East Austin, Austin, TX D+64
- Govalle, Austin, TX D+62
- Rosewood, Austin, TX D+62
- Riverside, Austin, TX D+49
- South River City, Austin, TX D+56
- Pleasant Valley, Austin, TX D+56
- Downtown Austin, Austin, TX D+42
- Montopolis, Austin, TX D+54
- Upper Boggy Creek, Austin, TX D+69
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Town of Blake, South Daytona, FL R+13
- Historic Uptown, St. Petersburg, FL D+34
- White Caps, Kenosha, WI D+4
- Lake Terrace and Oaks, New Orleans, LA D+41
- South Wedge, Rochester, NY D+70
- Point Richmond, Richmond, CA D+66
- Providence Estates East, Matthews, NC D+3
- Northwest Berkeley, Berkeley, CA D+82
- Midway Place, Bryan, TX D+31
- Duclay Forest, Jacksonville, FL D+32
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.