East Lake Francis Shores, MN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in East Lake Francis Shores

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

East Lake Francis Shores leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.

 

About 78% of adults in East Lake Francis Shores typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in East Lake Francis Shores, ~23% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~22% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How East Lake Francis Shores compares

Among cities within 25 miles, East Lake Francis Shores leans more Republican than 30 of 52 neighbors.

East Lake Francis Shores runs about 44 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while East Lake Francis Shores is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.

Why East Lake Francis Shores leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for East Lake Francis Shores, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

East Lake Francis Shores votes against the grain of Minnesota. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while East Lake Francis Shores runs about 44 points more Republican.

Homeownership and voter turnout

Places with homeowner-heavy households tend to turn out at a higher rate; East Lake Francis Shores, MN sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in East Lake Francis Shores looks the way it does

Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. East Lake Francis Shores is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 63%, above 60% of cities. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 93% of households in East Lake Francis Shores own their home, about 18 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

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Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.