Oak Creek leans slightly Democratic by roughly 12 points: about 56% of voters vote Democratic and 44% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Oak Creek typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Oak Creek, ~31% vote Democratic, ~24% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Oak Creek compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Oak Creek leans more Democratic than 8 of 22 neighbors.
Oak Creek runs about 8 points more Republican than California as a whole.
Why Oak Creek leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Oak Creek, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with high college attainment vote Democratic. About 75% of adults in Oak Creek hold a bachelor's degree, about 46 points above the U.S. average of 28%.
Population density and Democratic lean
Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Oak Creek, Irvine, CA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure.
Why turnout in Oak Creek looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Oak Creek is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 73%, about 13 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Woodbridge, Irvine, CA D+9
- Quail Hill, Irvine, CA D+15
- El Camino Real, Irvine, CA D+10
- Spectrum, Irvine, CA D+14
- University Park, Irvine, CA D+16
- Irvine Health and Science Complex, Irvine, CA D+23
- Turtle Rock, Irvine, CA D+11
- West Park, Irvine, CA D+14
- Rancho San Joaquin, Irvine, CA D+33
- Walnut Village, Irvine, CA D+12
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- Brick Church Bellshire, Nashville, TN D+71
- Mendenhall Valley, Juneau, AK D+10
- Downtown Brownsville, Brownsville, TX D+15
- Aggasiz-Harvard, Cambridge, MA D+78
- Riverview, Kansas City, KS D+37
- Annandale-on-Hudson, Staten Island, NY R+55
- Lincoln Village, Milwaukee, WI D+42
- Washington Square, Brookline, MA D+72
- Westside, Atlantic City, NJ D+68
- Phinney Ridge, Seattle, WA D+83
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from California Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.