Elk Valley, TN Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Elk Valley

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Elk Valley is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.

 

About 63% of adults in Elk Valley typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elk Valley, ~8% vote Democratic, ~55% Republican, and ~37% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Elk Valley compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Elk Valley leans more Republican than 45 of 75 neighbors.

Elk Valley runs about 44 points more Republican than Tennessee as a whole.

Why Elk Valley leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elk Valley, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Elk Valley, about 98% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 26 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 13% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 9 points below the Tennessee average of 22%. Rural areas vote Republican, and Elk Valley sits in the bottom quarter on density (about 4%, below 83% of cities).

Walkability and Republican lean

Places with a low walkability score tend to lean Republican; Elk Valley, TN sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.

Why turnout in Elk Valley looks the way it does

Homeowners vote more often than renters. About 92% of households in Elk Valley own their home, about 14 points above the Tennessee average of 77%. Limited routine healthcare access lines up with lower turnout, and Elk Valley sits in the bottom quarter on routine-care measures. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Tennessee Secretary of State, Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.