Ellsworth leans Republican by roughly 28 points: about 36% of voters vote Democratic and 64% Republican.
About 79% of adults in Ellsworth typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Ellsworth, ~28% vote Democratic, ~51% Republican, and ~21% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Ellsworth compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Ellsworth leans more Republican than 100 of 254 neighbors.
Ellsworth runs about 27 points more Republican than Pennsylvania as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Ellsworth. The southwest side is the most Republican-leaning (R+44) and the east side is the least Republican-leaning (R+25), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Ellsworth leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Ellsworth, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 85% of residents in Ellsworth drive to work alone, about 11 points above the U.S. average of 74%.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Ellsworth, PA sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Ellsworth looks the way it does
Turnout in Ellsworth sits close to the national pattern. Routine healthcare access, homeownership, education, and food security all land near their national averages here. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Bentleyville, PA R+37
- Cokeburg, PA R+29
- Beallsville, PA R+43
- Scenery Hill, PA R+44
- Vanceville, PA R+44
- Van Voorhis, PA R+42
- Daisytown, PA R+35
- Rogers Stop, PA R+44
- Coal Center, PA R+38
- Deemston, PA R+47
Cities with Similar Populations
- Parks, AZ R+44
- Murry, MO R+30
- Lagro, IN R+62
- Osterburg, PA R+71
- Pickford, MI R+34
- Normangee, TX R+74
- Russellville, MI R+24
- South Cle Elum, WA R+24
- Overisel, MI R+45
- Lilbourn, MO R+26
All Local Stats
Home Services
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Pennsylvania Department of State, Bureau of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.