Elm Grove leans slightly Democratic by roughly 10 points: about 55% of voters vote Democratic and 45% Republican.
About more than 99% of adults in Elm Grove typically vote, above the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elm Grove, ~60% vote Democratic, ~50% Republican, and ~-10% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elm Grove compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elm Grove leans more Democratic than 76 of 90 neighbors.
Elm Grove runs about 10 points more Democratic than Wisconsin as a whole.
Why Elm Grove leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elm Grove, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Dense areas vote Democratic. About 99% of residents in Elm Grove live in densely developed areas, about 62 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Elm Grove sits in the top quarter (about 74%, in the top fraction of cities).
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Elm Grove, WI sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Elm Grove looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elm Grove is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 77%, about 17 points above the U.S. average of 60%. High high-school completion lines up with higher turnout, and more than 99% of adults in Elm Grove have completed high school, above 98% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Brookfield, WI Even
- Wauwatosa, WI D+38
- Butler, WI R+3
- West Allis, WI D+14
- Duplainville, WI R+8
- New Berlin, WI R+14
- West Milwaukee, WI D+28
- Milwaukee, WI D+18
- Menomonee Falls, WI R+7
- Greenfield, WI D+6
Cities with Similar Populations
- Gap, PA R+50
- Southeast Arcadia, FL R+24
- Sudden Valley, WA D+43
- Carmi, IL R+52
- Bedford, NY D+12
- Melrose, FL R+56
- Carrizo Springs, TX R+5
- Worland, WY R+62
- Belvidere, NJ R+27
- Portal, GA R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Wisconsin Elections Commission, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.