Southeast Arcadia leans Republican by roughly 24 points: about 38% of voters vote Democratic and 62% Republican.
About 46% of adults in Southeast Arcadia typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Southeast Arcadia, ~18% vote Democratic, ~29% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Southeast Arcadia compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Southeast Arcadia leans more Republican than 1 of 27 neighbors.
Southeast Arcadia runs about 11 points more Republican than Florida as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Southeast Arcadia. The southeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+49) and the southwest side is the least Republican-leaning (R+10), a spread of about 39 points.
Why Southeast Arcadia leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Southeast Arcadia, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with low college attainment vote Republican. About 5% of adults in Southeast Arcadia hold a bachelor's degree, about 26 points below the Florida average of 31%. Dense places usually vote Democratic, but Southeast Arcadia runs against that pattern.
High-school completion, developed land, and voter turnout
Places that combine low high-school-completion share and a heavily developed built environment tend to turn out at a lower rate, as Southeast Arcadia, FL does.
Why turnout in Southeast Arcadia looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Southeast Arcadia is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 37%, about 19 points below the Florida average of 56%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 34% of households in Southeast Arcadia rent, above 90% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 62% of adults in Southeast Arcadia have completed high school, in the bottom fraction of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Arcadia, FL R+31
- Lake Suzy, FL R+52
- Cubitis, FL R+64
- Nocatee, FL R+66
- Pine Level, FL R+63
- Brownville, FL R+65
- Hull, FL R+65
- Fort Ogden, FL R+61
- Joshua, FL R+43
- Limestone, FL R+68
Cities with Similar Populations
- Carmi, IL R+52
- Gap, PA R+50
- Elm Grove, WI D+10
- Melrose, FL R+56
- Carrizo Springs, TX R+5
- Sudden Valley, WA D+43
- Belvidere, NJ R+27
- Bedford, NY D+12
- Worland, WY R+62
- Portal, GA R+27
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Florida Division of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.