Elmdale is a Republican stronghold. About 13% of voters here vote Democratic and 87% Republican.
About 64% of adults in Elmdale typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmdale, ~8% vote Democratic, ~56% Republican, and ~36% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmdale compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmdale leans more Republican than 45 of 47 neighbors.
Elmdale runs about 78 points more Republican than Minnesota as a whole. Minnesota leans Democratic overall, while Elmdale is one of the few Republican-leaning pockets.
Why Elmdale leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmdale, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with a high white share and below-average college attainment vote Republican. In Elmdale, more than 99% of residents are non-Hispanic white, about 27 points above the U.S. average of 72%; about 15% of adults hold a bachelor's degree, about 13 points below the Minnesota average of 28%. Elmdale runs against the grain of Minnesota, a Republican-leaning pocket in a Democratic-leaning state.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with high colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a higher rate; Elmdale, MN sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Elmdale looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elmdale is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 67%, about 7 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Homeowners vote more often than renters, and about 91% of households in Elmdale own their home, about 16 points above the U.S. average of 75%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Upsala, MN R+74
- Bowlus, MN R+73
- Holdingford, MN R+66
- Sobieski, MN R+64
- Opole, MN R+58
- North Prairie, MN R+58
- Burtrum, MN R+61
- Swanville, MN R+66
- Flensburg, MN R+65
- St. Anna, MN R+64
Cities with Similar Populations
- Sulphur Lick, KY R+78
- Dublin Mills, PA R+75
- Graves, SC R+59
- Green Lake, ME R+14
- Luckett, TN R+69
- Tiny, VA R+68
- Monroe Bridge, MA D+6
- Homan, AR R+51
- Boydville, GA R+73
- Brentwood Lake, OH R+28
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Minnesota Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.