Elmhurst leans heavily Democratic by roughly 32 points: about 66% of voters vote Democratic and 34% Republican. These figures are model estimates: Rhode Island did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the numbers above come from demographic and health features rather than local ground truth.
About 59% of adults in Elmhurst typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmhurst, ~39% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~41% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmhurst compares
Among neighborhoods within 5 miles, Elmhurst leans more Democratic than 14 of 35 neighbors.
Elmhurst runs about 17 points more Democratic than Rhode Island as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by block within Elmhurst. The southeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+40) and the northwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+22), a spread of about 19 points.
Why Elmhurst leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per neighborhood to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmhurst, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Areas with many never-married adults vote Democratic. About 53% of adults in Elmhurst have never been married, modestly above similar-sized neighborhoods (around 47%).
Park access and Democratic lean
Places with heavy park coverage tend to lean Democratic; Elmhurst, Providence, RI sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. Park access does not change how people vote; it tends to track denser, higher-income areas.
Why turnout in Elmhurst looks the way it does
Areas with strong routine healthcare access turn out at higher rates. Elmhurst is in the top quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 68%, about 8 points above the U.S. average of 60%. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Neighborhoods
- Wanskuck, Providence, RI D+40
- Mount Pleasant, Providence, RI D+35
- Valley, Providence, RI D+38
- Smith Hill, Providence, RI D+47
- Manton, Providence, RI D+27
- Charles, Providence, RI D+33
- Olneyville, Providence, RI D+36
- Federal Hill, Providence, RI D+60
- Marieville, Providence, RI D+12
- Mount Hope, Providence, RI D+74
Neighborhoods with Similar Populations
- East Village, San Diego, CA D+44
- Naglee Park, San Jose, CA D+53
- Nevin, Los Angeles, CA D+45
- Glover Park, Washington, DC D+76
- South Lake Union, Seattle, WA D+57
- River Mountain, Henderson, NV R+13
- East Cambridge, Cambridge, MA D+65
- Greater Wythe, Hampton, VA D+59
- Hyannis, Barnstable Town, MA D+18
- East Oak Hill, Austin, TX D+41
Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Rhode Island Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. RI did not have precinct-level voting records available for training, so the figures here come from extrapolation across demographic, health, and land-use features rather than local ground truth. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.