Elmo leans heavily Republican by roughly 40 points: about 30% of voters vote Democratic and 70% Republican.
About 55% of adults in Elmo typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmo, ~17% vote Democratic, ~38% Republican, and ~45% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmo compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmo leans more Republican than 16 of 59 neighbors.
Elmo runs about 27 points more Republican than Texas as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elmo. The north side is the most Republican-leaning (R+65) and the northeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+27), a spread of about 38 points.
Why Elmo leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmo, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elmo votes Republican even though it is densely developed (about 23%, modestly below the Texas average of 35%). State and regional patterns outweigh the Democratic lean that density usually predicts here.
Preventive-care access and voter turnout
Places with limited routine preventive-care access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Elmo, TX sits in the bottom quarter nationally on this measure. Dental visits do not drive turnout; the rate reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access, which line up with who votes.
Why turnout in Elmo looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elmo is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 49%, about 11 points below the U.S. average of 60%. Renters vote less often than owners, and about 45% of households in Elmo rent, compared to around 12% in nearby cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- Kaufman, TX R+41
- Oak Grove, TX R+66
- Post Oak Bend City, TX R+61
- Jiba, TX R+66
- Gastonia, TX R+62
- Warsaw, TX R+65
- Ola, TX R+58
- Grays Prairie, TX R+68
- Crandall, TX R+23
- Talty, TX R+54
Cities with Similar Populations
- Cassoday, KS R+61
- Mount Sterling, WI R+27
- Amasa, MI R+32
- Crowville, LA R+68
- Kymulga, AL Even
- Smithville, NY R+30
- Loring Air Force Base, ME R+33
- New Salem, IN R+69
- Elk Creek, MO R+68
- Manning, ND R+77
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.