Elmore leans heavily Republican by roughly 48 points: about 26% of voters vote Democratic and 74% Republican.
About 43% of adults in Elmore typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmore, ~11% vote Democratic, ~32% Republican, and ~57% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elmore compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elmore leans more Republican than 26 of 51 neighbors.
Elmore runs about 17 points more Republican than Alabama as a whole.
Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elmore. The northeast side is the most Republican-leaning (R+63) and the southeast side is the least Republican-leaning (R+12), a spread of about 50 points.
Why Elmore leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmore, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Car-dependent areas vote Republican. About 89% of residents in Elmore drive to work alone, about 15 points above the U.S. average of 74%. Low college attainment predicts Republican voting, and Elmore sits in the bottom quarter (about 12%, below 87% of cities). A high family-household share predicts Republican voting, and about 77% of households in Elmore are family households, above 81% of cities.
Cancer-screening access and voter turnout
Places with low colon-cancer-screening access tend to turn out at a lower rate; Elmore, AL sits in the bottom tenth nationally on this measure. Cancer screening does not drive turnout; it reflects income, insurance, and healthcare access.
Why turnout in Elmore looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elmore is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 47%, about 7 points below the Alabama average of 54%. High food insecurity lines up with lower turnout, and about 25% of adults in Elmore report food insecurity, above 91% of cities. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 78% of adults in Elmore have completed high school, below 93% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- North Elmore, AL R+61
- Deatsville, AL R+58
- Coosada, AL R+18
- Stoney Point, AL R+27
- Holtville, AL R+59
- Millbrook, AL R+28
- Wallsboro, AL R+36
- Pine Flat, AL R+79
- Wetumpka, AL R+47
- Titus, AL R+78
Cities with Similar Populations
- Blountsville, AL R+82
- Castleton On Hudson, NY Even
- Elizabethtown, NC R+2
- Atlantic, IA R+34
- Centralia, MO R+36
- Halifax, PA R+51
- St. James, MO R+48
- Alamo Heights, TX D+7
- Negaunee, MI R+12
- Hilmar, CA R+48
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Alabama Secretary of State, Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.