Elmsford, NY Political Map | Democrat & Republican Areas in Elmsford

By the BestNeighborhood data science team. Last updated May 2026.

Elmsford leans heavily Democratic by roughly 36 points: about 68% of voters vote Democratic and 32% Republican.

 

About 61% of adults in Elmsford typically vote, near the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elmsford, ~41% vote Democratic, ~20% Republican, and ~39% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.

How Elmsford compares

Among cities within 25 miles, Elmsford leans more Democratic than 262 of 283 neighbors.

Elmsford runs about 24 points more Democratic than New York as a whole.

Politics vary noticeably by neighborhood within Elmsford. The northeast side is the most Democratic-leaning (D+45) and the southwest side is the least Democratic-leaning (D+27), a spread of about 18 points.

Why Elmsford leans the way it does

This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elmsford, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.

Dense areas vote Democratic. About 92% of residents in Elmsford live in densely developed areas, about 56 points above the U.S. average of 36%. High college attainment predicts Democratic voting, and Elmsford sits in the top quarter (about 46%, above 91% of cities). A high never-married share predicts Democratic voting, and about 42% of adults in Elmsford have never been married, above 95% of cities.

Population density and Democratic lean

Places with high population density tend to lean Democratic; Elmsford, NY sits in the top tenth nationally on this measure.

Why turnout in Elmsford looks the way it does

Renters vote less often than owners. About 35% of households in Elmsford rent, about 10 points above the U.S. average of 25%. Crowded housing lines up with lower turnout, and about 4% of homes in Elmsford have more than one occupant per room, above 84% of cities. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.

Sources and methodology

Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from New York State Board of Elections, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.

Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.

Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.