Elsa is a true toss-up. About 51% of voters here vote Democratic and 49% Republican.
About 47% of adults in Elsa typically vote, below the U.S. average of about 62%. Among adults in Elsa, ~24% vote Democratic, ~23% Republican, and ~53% don't vote. The map below shows estimated turnout by block group.
How Elsa compares
Among cities within 25 miles, Elsa sits roughly in the middle of the political spectrum, with 57 neighbors leaning further in the place's direction and 0 leaning the other way.
Elsa runs about 15 points more Democratic than Texas as a whole. Texas leans Republican overall, while Elsa sits closer to the political middle.
Why Elsa leans the way it does
This analysis examined 14,881 data points per city to find what predicts political lean and turnout. The items below are a few correlations that stood out for Elsa, not a ranked or complete list of what matters most.
Elsa votes against the grain of Texas. Texas leans Republican overall, while Elsa runs about 15 points more Democratic.
Walkability and Democratic lean
Places with a highly walkable street grid tend to lean Democratic; Elsa, TX sits in the top quarter nationally on this measure. A walkable street grid does not change how people vote; it mostly reflects how urban a place is.
Why turnout in Elsa looks the way it does
Areas with limited routine healthcare access turn out at lower rates. Elsa is in the bottom quarter nationally for routine-care measures such as insurance coverage, preventive screenings, and dental visits. The dental-visit rate here is about 45%, about 8 points below the Texas average of 54%. Low high-school completion lines up with lower turnout, and about 77% of adults in Elsa have completed high school, below 94% of cities. High-crime urban areas turn out at lower rates, and Elsa sits in the top 15% on a violent-crime measure. Learn more about the findings and methodology on the political spectrum map.
Nearby Cities
- La Blanca, TX Even
- Edcouch, TX R+3
- La Villa, TX R+8
- Laguna Seca, TX R+11
- Muniz, TX R+5
- Monte Alto, TX R+8
- Midway North, TX R+8
- Rio Rico, TX R+4
- Nurillo, TX R+5
- Cesar Chavez, TX Even
Cities with Similar Populations
- Trenton, GA R+68
- Lake Mills, WI R+12
- Bumpass, VA R+42
- Palmyra, NY R+17
- Worley, NC R+32
- Farmingdale, NJ R+24
- Iuka, MS R+73
- Auburndale, MA D+59
- North Chili, NY Even
- Bellville, TX R+55
All Local Stats
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Sources and methodology
Precinct-level voting records used to fit the model come from Texas Secretary of State, Elections Division, distributed by the Voting and Election Science Team. Demographic inputs come from the U.S. Census Bureau (ACS 5-year estimates and the 2020 Decennial Census). Health and environmental inputs come from the CDC (PLACES and the Environmental Justice Index). Land cover comes from the USGS and EPA. Election-day and lead-up weather come from PRISM 4km daily grids and the NOAA Global Historical Climatology Network. Mail-voting and election-administration patterns come from the MIT Election Lab's Survey of the Performance of American Elections. Block-group crime detail comes from CrimeGrade. Internet data and modeling support provided by ISPreports.org.
Modeling and analysis by the BestNeighborhood data science team. Full methodology and findings: political spectrum map.
Methodology reviewed by the BestNeighborhood data team. Last updated May 2026.